Monday, April 2, 2012

how do ceasefires end?

Nancy Kanwisher has written an article at the Huffington Post that documents how lulls in conflict between Israel and the Palestinians end. It contains this remarkable chart...

To the left is the percentage of conflicts that end after the number of days specified at the bottom. The bars are black for Israel, gray for Palestinian attacks and white for both on the same day. As can easily be seen, for all pause durations shown, Israel is always the leader in resuming attacks and is the only party that resumes attacks after the longer pause durations (10 days or more). The full article is well worth reading.

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